Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 3.088274 3.595115 4.171773 4.879100 5.726938 6.714990 7.960101
2025-02-09 2.401395 3.071573 3.921409 5.090208 6.674750 8.775279 11.816114
2025-02-16 2.007996 2.729703 3.712215 5.171338 7.324267 10.450109 15.456045
2025-02-23 1.752543 2.500873 3.579436 5.285047 7.985619 12.221836 19.629355
2025-03-02 1.523131 2.261004 3.375400 5.232181 8.352568 13.583488 23.463352
2025-03-09 1.373661 2.112831 3.277465 5.313169 8.929023 15.382668 28.509990
2025-03-16 1.227069 1.945524 3.119486 5.258776 9.248415 16.778989 33.164120
2025-03-23 1.110553 1.810092 2.991839 5.229803 9.597872 18.290955 38.471221
2025-03-30 1.000266 1.670422 2.836341 5.121430 9.768227 19.473286 43.395300
2025-04-06 0.933746 1.598186 2.789302 5.207502 10.338605 21.611534 51.230712
2025-04-13 0.848220 1.481684 2.645896 5.080321 10.435025 22.719563 56.836103
2025-04-20 0.814369 1.456053 2.669546 5.295179 11.318030 25.859370 69.015115
2025-04-27 0.764181 1.403557 2.653452 5.468259 12.254096 29.672785 85.734662
2025-05-04 0.720891 1.361320 2.657114 5.700337 13.434188 34.640556 109.258894
2025-05-11 0.670715 1.297725 2.605382 5.793142 14.287737 39.025467 133.610372
2025-05-18 0.629415 1.246604 2.571999 5.922619 15.278432 44.214049 164.635414
2025-05-25 0.579239 1.170060 2.470683 5.862405 15.722854 47.866933 192.142060
2025-06-01 0.544946 1.123666 2.431192 5.954655 16.648526 53.548691 233.544576
2025-06-08 0.504865 1.059467 2.340732 5.892696 17.085253 57.693933 271.183448
2025-06-15 0.470721 1.004793 2.265690 5.859697 17.612911 62.451882 316.873407
2025-06-22 0.435319 0.943228 2.165495 5.736298 17.807454 65.997604 359.315628
2025-06-29 0.414331 0.913446 2.141534 5.834300 18.816085 73.526958 436.209532
2025-07-06 0.384002 0.857837 2.043702 5.689502 18.901308 76.999041 489.316192